Saturday, November 21, 2009

The 2010 Real Estate Outlook

The 2009 National Association of Realtors® Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, shows first-time buyers accounted for a record 47% share of home sales over the past year, up from 41% in the 2008 survey. The share has risen steadily since a cyclical low of 36% in 2006.
Existing-home sales are expected to total 5.01 million in 2009, a gain of 2.0% over last year, and then are forecast to rise 13.6% to 5.69 million in 2010. “A steady draw down of inventory will help home values to turn positive in 2010, but risks such as unemployment remain in the economy,” Yun said.
New-home sales are projected at 397,000 this year, recovering to 549,000 in 2010. Housing starts, including multifamily units, should total 564,000 units this year but grow to 752,000 in 2010.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will probably average 5.3% in the fourth quarter, rising gradually to 5.8% by the end of next year. NAR’s housing affordability index will set a record in 2009, averaging 30 percentage points higher than 2008. Affordability will decline from record highs next year but will remain at historically attractive levels for home buyers.
“We’ve seen a steady downtrend in housing inventory for well over a year and home prices appear to be in the early stages of stabilizing. With the expansion of the tax credit to additional buyers through the middle of next year, and no major unforeseen events impacting the economy, home prices should rise between 3 and 5% in 2010, but with wide geographic differences,” Yun said. He expects growth in the U.S. gross domestic product to be at a pace of 2.5% in the current quarter, with GDP up 2.8% in 2010.
The unemployment rate is close to peaking and is projected to ease to 9.5% by the end of next year.
“The size of the U.S. budget deficit is a concern going forward, and carries the risk of higher inflation. At this point, that risk appears to be restrained,” Yun said. Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, is seen contracting 0.4% this year, then rising 1.6% in 2010. Inflation-adjusted disposable personal income is estimated to grow 0.4% this year and 1.2% next year.

Third Quarter statistics:

South Side Real Estate -Under Contract
The average - 311 2bed/2bath properties are under contract - they were listed for an average of 134 days and are selling for an average of $118K
Currently Listed
The average - 2389 2bed/2bath properties are currently listed - they have been listed for an average of 227 days and are selling for an average of $233K
Sold!!!!
The average - 852 2bed/2bath properties closed- they were listed for an average of 137 days and sold for an average of $143K

Want more info?? Call me 312-498-1138

Saturday, November 14, 2009

What The Governor Of Illinois Has Done For You Lately

Whew!!! is there an election coming up?

Our new Governor, Patrick Quinn, launched an affordable home ownership program for the good citizens of our state for eligible first time buyers and veterans. This program will offer a second loan of up to $6,000 or 3% of the home purchase price (whichever is less) which can be applied toward the downpayment of the home. The prospective buyer must put down at least 1% or $1,000. You must work with a HUD Certified counselor. The Illinois Housing Development Authority wants to help at least 2, 000 new home buyers this year. I can reach that many with my blog alone - so come on and get this money! If you've never owned a home, don't let all of this free money slip through your fingers. You can own cheaper than you can rent! Call me - 312-498-1138!

Saturday, November 7, 2009

What The President Has Done For You Lately

HOMEBUYERS - WASHINGTON IS LISTENING

President Obama signed a bill into law yesterday that will extend the Homebuyer Tax Credit. This will allow first time homebuyers to continue to receive a credit of up to $8,000 on the purchase of their first home. The buyer must not have had ownership in a principal residence for the last three years from the date of closing or actual purchase. Contracts must be written before April 30, 2009 and the property must close before July 1, 2010.

For those of you who opined that current purchasers were left out in the cold - Congress didn't forget about you - and the President was eager to sign the legislation. Current homeowners who sell a principal residence that they have lived in for the last five years of the previous eight years will be able to receive a credit of up to $6,500 if they purchase a new home.

This will go into effect for current homeowners as of December 1, 2009.

My only problem with this bill is closing - I have several current clients who are having a hard time getting their mortgage companies to close on time. But that's another newsletter.

There is a caveat on all purchases - the cost of the home cannot exceed $800,000, so don't go crazy!

If you're ready for a new home, or a first home - call me. I'm going on a caravan Sunday and I'm looking for places to present to new clients. 312-498-1138!

In addition, the President extended unemployment benefits with this bill. Unemployment benefits have been extended up to twenty weeks depending on the unemployment rate in the area you live. This is a necessary safety net in the road to economic recovery.

Saturday, September 12, 2009

New Mortgage Guidelines

Money's Too Tight To Mention!

As of September 1, 2009 - conforming mortgage approvals just got a little harder to get - so do your homework before you jump into a situation that leaves you swimming as you wait for your place to close! I just had a client get hung up, and she is pacing the floor waiting to close.

Due the high levels of unemployment, mortgage fraud, and the state of the market in general, Fannie Mae announced the changes and here they are for your perusal:

Credit, income and asset documentation must be no more than ninety days old - the old rule of 120 days is no more!
Lenders must see the actual federal tax returns as income documentation - that used to be reserved for borderline mortgages!
If you rely on tips for income, from now on you'll have to provide documentation to add that to your income list.
Stocks won't be used at current market value - at best they will be assessed at 70% of current market value - yikes!
Income from actual jobs - not anticipated incomes - will be required to determine mortgage worthiness!
Retirement assets will be counted at 60% of current value as opposed to the 70% they used to receive!
Two unit homes will now have a higher FICO score threshold - so check with your mortgage manager to see what effect that will have on you.

The current trend is all Fannie, Freddie, FHA, and VHA in the mortgage game - you'll notice that you don't see all of those mortgage advertisements that used to litter the TV screen!

Some hate it, some love it - it's here for the time being, and I don't want you to be lost in the fog when you go mortgage hunting.

Saturday, September 5, 2009

Check That Porch Before Labor Day Party

Labor Day Porch Check!


Labor Day is around the corner - don't let the last hurrah of summer be a day of regret. Before you invite the neighborhood over for a good time, make sure your deck, porch, balcony, etc., are up to snuff!

Splitting Wood
Wobbly Guardrails
Missing Anchors or support beams
Excessive movement when you walk over the deck


The City of Chicago recently updated their requirements and are working assiduously to make sure there are no more accidents such as the ones we saw in Lincoln Park.


Don't Leave Any Money On The Table!

The Stimulus Package and the $8,000 tax credit it provides is set to disappear at the end of 2009! You don't want to lose out on a chance to get free money - and this is as close to an inheritance as many of us will ever get. If you haven't owned a house in three years or more, now is the time to take the plunge. Interest rates are as good as they've ever been, and with all of this incredible inventory, there's no reason not to find the home of your drreams!


Open House of the Month!

If you haven't seen the Al Capone house at 7244 South Prairie, I urge you get over and check it out - the next Open House will be September 13, 2009 at 2:00 pm


Hyde Park Gyros - 1368 E. 53rd Street

Who says you have to visit Greektown to get a good gyros? You can get the real thing - a melt in your mouth, hot, tasty, delicious gyros right here in the neighborhood. Try it out!



Before the Summer Ends!

Take the Southside Double Decker Trolley Tour - it includes President Obama's neighborhood, the DuSable Museum, the Fountain of Time and the Museum of Science and Industry - this tour meets at Millennium Park on the southside of Randolph at the Chase Promenade - save 10% and buy tickets online https://www.coachusa.com/chicagotrolley/booking.asp?action=ProductDetail&productId=1063

Changes to the Blog!

This blog will now have a new posting every Tuesday, Thursday, and Saturday - I'll try to cover the topics you ask about in addition to the new things that are taking place in Chicago real estate - please share the blog with your friends!

Sunday, February 15, 2009

So You Want To Buy A Foreclosure

Everybody wants to know about the latest foreclosure information - but most people haven't really thought about what it will take to bring that diamond in the rough back to a perfect sparkle. I've spoken to many of you about foreclosures, but here is the dirt, so to speak, on how to make it work for you with as little drama as possible.

Yes, foreclosures seem to be cheaper than a new development: the buildings have history, great location, and much more space than newer developments generally. But the price on the MLS is only the jumping off point – you have to get a bank to back you, a rehabber who can complete the job in the required amount of time, and you have to have a plan for how to make it through the transition so that you can enjoy that diamond you just sunk your life savings and months of time into. Here are some things to keep in mind:

Get a full service realtor – ask them to send you the foreclosure listings in the area of the city (or two) that you want to explore. Narrow that list to ten places and make a drive by. See if the block is up to par – what’s the distance to the school you’ll send your children to, the restaurants, the grocery store, Starbucks, and whatever else you travel to on a regular basis. You need to make sure the place really looks as good as advertised. This will probably knock that list down to five places that you would really like to live in.

Find a mortgage provider who specializes in foreclosures and/or rehabs – there are still plenty around and they can direct you to a loan and a cadre of rehabbers that they approve who do good work. You want to ask about a 203(k) rehab loan. Neighborhood Housing Services of Chicago is a good one, but not the only one, to try. They will also give you some real life stats on how long this process can take and what loan programs have a long enough shelf life to get you through the process. The biggest problem people are finding now is that so many mortgage programs are disappearing overnight, you have to select a program that will fit your schedule, or you may be faced with starting over – or losing your place.

Find a rehabber that your mortgage provider approves. They should give you a list of about five – interview them all, get references and see their most recent work. Make sure their workers are steady and have been with the rehabber for awhile. If you have a dream about how you want your place laid out – make them aware of that early in the process.

Schedule the showings on two separate days. Foreclosures are empty – so be prepared to see the places back to back on two different days. Once you have settled on two or three you want to make an offer on, go back and see those with your rehabber within a few days. The rehabber can tell you realistically how much and how long it will take to get together. It’s a good idea to add another week or two to that time frame – if you’re in early, you’ll be very happy, if not, you won’t be a wreck.

Take the essentials – a camera to make notes of what you just saw, a high beam and low beam flashlight to see everything well, and a long tape measure to confirm your dimensions. Make a floor plan of the finalists and take them with you as you go back with the rehabber. Let them know during that second walk through what you want and where you want it placed.

Have the place inspected – you want a professional opinion on what’s really wrong with the place before you make the offer. Foreclosures are sold “as is” but if you can justify your price with the facts about what’s wrong, you can shave some money off that price and get the owner bank’s approval.

Be prepared for the fact that there are other offers out there – one reason foreclosures take so long is because the bank fields offers from all candidates at one time – but it usually isn’t the day after your offer is presented. There may be more than one person required to sign off on the contract, so don’t expect an immediate answer. You also have to understand that if you selected a place in a very desirable neighborhood, you won’t be able to do too much low balling. Know your high and low point going in, and make your offer in the middle.

Make your rehabber’s contract as specific as possible and write in penalties for non-compliance. People understand money and if they realize that they’ll lose some for slacking, you’ll settle a lot of arguments before they get started. You should plan on spending as much time as possible at the site, at least once a day to see the progress or lack thereof. Your realtor can also help you keep tab on the progress. Most have project managers just for this purpose.

Get the approval of your condo association ahead of time. Most will be so glad that the place is being taken, they won’t argue. You do need to make sure your plans won’t be a sharp contrast to the standards of the condo association. You should also let your new neighbors know what the plan is for the rehab. They need to know time frame, and they need to know what the people look like who are coming into the building regularly.

Ask your realtor to find a temp location for you to stay during the rehab so that you aren’t living out of a suitcase in crowded surroundings. Realtors have connections with corporate housing managers and leasing managers. We can sometimes get a good discount off the listed corporate housing price. Rehabs on foreclosures are draining processes. Your realtor is there to help you get through it with your sanity intact.

Trust the process – foreclosures can be incredibly aggravating – mortgage programs close, rehabbers jump ship, and what seemed like a simple rehab can take a sudden turn if you find out too late that there is more wrong than you originally thought. Take a long view approach, and you’ll be in your dream house in due time.

Pizza Capri – 5307 S. Harper 773-324-7114 – Someone pointed out to me that they had seen me twice at Pizza Capri and yet I hadn’t covered the restaurant in this blog – I apologize. Pizza Capri is one of my favorite places in Hyde Park. This is a new comer, it wasn’t around during my Kenwood days, but I visit it often with my family. I usually have their pasta. They make a great pesto sauce, which is hard to come by. The pizza is also a favorite with some, but I haven’t tried it yet. Maybe the next time I’m in the area, I’ll give it a go.

Court Theatre – Wait Until Dark – March 5 – April 5 5535 S. Ellis 773-753-4472 (Please don’t get your tickets through Ticketmaster – call direct and get the best seats) – this thriller revolves around a special package that a blind woman holds, unbeknownst to her. I remember the movie with Audrey Hepburn, and I can’t wait to see this one.